The Premier League is a battleground like no other. It offers glory, drama, and, for some unfortunate managers, the dreaded sack.
While players come and go, it’s the managers who often face the fiercest scrutiny. As 2026 kicks off, many fans are wondering, who will be the next Premier League manager to be sacked?
Let’s take a closer look at the favourites, the under-fire candidates, and how the odds are shaping the sack race narrative.
Why Are Premier League Managers Under So Much Pressure This Season?
It’s a tough time to be a Premier League manager. With expectations higher than ever and results judged on a game-by-game basis, a poor run of form can quickly snowball into job insecurity.
Several factors are fuelling this pressure:
- Massive financial stakes: Clubs rely heavily on Premier League status to ensure television rights and sponsorship revenue.
- Fan impatience: Social media and 24/7 football coverage amplify every misstep.
- Ambition mismatch: Clubs wanting top-six finishes often lack the squad depth to realistically compete, yet the pressure remains.
For some managers, even mid-table isn’t enough.
Who Is the Favourite to Be Sacked Next According to the Bookmakers?
As of 31st December 2025, the favourite to be sacked next is Nuno Espirito Santo of West Ham United. Multiple bookmakers, including William Hill and BetVictor, have him at 9/4 (30.77% implied probability) to leave his post next.
Why Nuno?
- Poor form: West Ham have been inconsistent this season and sit dangerously close to the relegation zone.
- Underperforming squad: Despite a decent squad on paper, results have been erratic.
- Fan unrest: Chants calling for change have started echoing across the London Stadium.
If results don’t improve soon, Nuno could be the next casualty.
Which Managers Are Also on the Sack Radar?
It’s not just Nuno under scrutiny. A few other names are attracting betting interest and media speculation.
| Manager | Club | Odds | Probability |
| Scott Parker | Burnley | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| Thomas Frank | Spurs | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| Daniel Farke | Leeds | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Eddie Howe | Newcastle | 10/1 | 9.09% |
Key Notes
- Scott Parker has struggled to keep Burnley competitive, with results suggesting relegation is a real threat.
- Thomas Frank is feeling the heat at Spurs after a string of disappointing performances and an early cup exit.
- Daniel Farke and Eddie Howe face increasing pressure from both fans and owners due to inconsistent league form.
What Do the Odds Reveal About the Sack Race?
Betting odds don’t just reflect probability – they often mirror public and media sentiment. Here’s a look at some key managerial odds and their respective probabilities:
| Manager | Odds | Probability |
| Nuno Espirito Santo | 9/4 | 30.77% |
| Scott Parker | 5/1 | 16.67% |
| Thomas Frank | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| Arne Slot (Liverpool) | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Enzo Maresca (Chelsea) | 12/1 | 7.69% |
| Ruben Amorim (Man United) | 12/1 | 7.69% |
While odds are not a guarantee, they often signal internal tensions that might not yet be public knowledge.
How Does Performance Impact Managerial Security in the EPL?
Performance is still the clearest metric for job safety in the Premier League. Here are a few key indicators that put a manager at risk:
- Points per game (PPG): A PPG below 1.2 often correlates with sackings.
- Home form: Clubs failing to win home matches tend to lose fan support quickly.
- Goal difference: A negative GD often reflects tactical issues or a leaky defence.
Stat Snapshot (As of 31 Dec 2025)
| Club | Manager | League Position | Points |
| West Ham | Nuno | 17th | 18 |
| Burnley | Parker | 19th | 13 |
| Leeds | Farke | 16th | 20 |
The numbers paint a bleak picture for some.
Could a Surprise Sacking Be on the Horizon?
Every season has its shock sacking, the manager who seemed untouchable until a sudden turn of events.
Names with Long Odds but Growing Pressure
- David Moyes (Everton): At 50/1, but Everton have struggled defensively.
- Oliver Glasner (Crystal Palace): Despite decent form, internal tensions are being whispered about.
- Enzo Maresca (Chelsea): Big signings haven’t yielded results; pressure is mounting.
Football is unpredictable, and long shots do come in – just ask those who bet on Leicester to win the league.
What Role Does Betting Play in Predicting Managerial Changes?
Betting markets are becoming a powerful barometer for change in the Premier League. Bookmakers adjust odds based on media reports, insider tips, and betting volume. When odds shorten significantly for a manager, it’s often a sign that something is brewing behind the scenes.
Why Fans Bet on Sack Races?
- To profit from football knowledge and trends.
- To engage more with club news and speculation.
- To hedge emotional bets on clubs underperforming.
If you’re watching the markets closely, you might get the news before it’s official.
Who Looks the Safest in the Premier League Managerial Table?
While many are on the brink, others seem to have secured their positions—at least for now.
| Manager | Club | Odds to Be Sacked | Status |
| Mikel Arteta | Arsenal | 100/1 | Very Safe |
| Unai Emery | Aston Villa | 66/1 | Safe |
| Pep Guardiola | Man City | 66/1 | Very Safe |
Arteta and Guardiola are enjoying strong league positions and support from their boards. They’re the least likely to face the axe anytime soon.
What’s the Verdict on the Sack Race Going Into the New Year?
With the season entering a crucial phase, managerial pressure will only intensify. Here’s how it currently stands:
- Nuno Espirito Santo remains the top candidate for the sack.
- Scott Parker and Thomas Frank aren’t far behind.
- A surprise sacking can’t be ruled out given the volatility of the league.
With so much at stake survival, European spots, and pride – decisions will be swift and ruthless.
FAQs
Is betting on the next Premier League manager to be sacked legal in the UK?
Yes, it’s legal and available at most licensed UK sportsbooks under “Manager Specials” or “Sack Race” markets.
Do betting odds accurately predict manager sackings?
Not always, but they are a strong indicator of behind-the-scenes instability and public sentiment.
What happens if two managers are sacked on the same day?
Most bookmakers pay out on the first confirmed announcement. Check terms before betting.
Which club has sacked the most managers in the last 10 years?
Watford is among the clubs with the highest turnover, frequently changing managers.
How do odds shift after a heavy defeat?
Odds can shorten significantly following a big loss or fan protest, indicating rising pressure.
Do sackings usually happen before or after the January transfer window?
Often before, allowing new managers to make signings. However, some sackings happen post-window if results remain poor.
